Advice on who to keep

unbigote  3/23/2015 3:41 PM

I'm in a h2h keeper league with standard 5x5 scoring. I've got to submit my six keepers by Friday. Thanks for chiming in with advice.

Rules:

- Up to six keepers, each player moves up two draft rounds per season. 

- Only one player can be kept in rounds 1 through 3. 

Here are my options:

• Andrew McCutchen   - Round 1
• Jose Altuve                - Round 3
• Cole Hammels           - Round 5
• Victor Martinez           - Round 7
• Edwin Encarnacion    - Round 8
• Michael Brantley        - Round 12
• Freddie Freeman       - Round 13
• Corey Kluber              - Round 13
• Bryce Harper              - Round 14
• Javier Baez                - Round 21
• Anthony Rendon        - Round 22
• Sean Doolittle             - Round 23
• Mark Melancon           - Round 23
• Addison Russel          - Round 23
• Miguel Sano               - Round 23
• Danny Santana          - Round 23

ken_admin  3/23/2015 4:01 PM

Are these rounds for this year? In other words, would Altuve be a 1st or 3rd this year?

unbigote  3/23/2015 4:29 PM

Yes, all the rounds are for this coming season. 

ken_admin  3/23/2015 5:04 PM

Obviously, there's more than 6 worth keeping, but here's my list:

* Edwin Encarnacion    - Round 8
* Michael Brantley        - Round 12
* Freddie Freeman       - Round 13
* Corey Kluber              - Round 13
* Bryce Harper              - Round 14
* Anthony Rendon        - Round 22

Sano, Martinez, Altuve, and your closers are appealing too. What's the current thinking?

unbigote  3/23/2015 5:27 PM

I'm almost certainly going with Brantely, Kluber, Harper and Rendon (I didn't want to bias anyone's fist opinion). I was looking at deciding between one of EE and Freedman and maybe going with McCutchen because I'll be drafting somewhere in the second half of the first round. Martinez's age/knee scares me and I'm really tempted by the prospects. 

In short, I'm still undecided on the last two slots. 

unbigote  3/25/2015 10:08 AM

@kslight, If you have a moment, I'd be interested to know your thinking with regards to taking a guy like Altuve (or even Sano) over McCutchen. Would you chalk it up to round value (first vs third this season)? Also, even though Freeman is a young player, I'm reluctant to keep him given his power shortage relative to his position (not to mention a weakened Braves roster). 

Anyone else have an opinion on how to fill out my last keeper slot?

Assuming I go with these five:

* Edwin Encarnacion    - Round 8
* Michael Brantley        - Round 12
* Corey Kluber              - Round 13
* Bryce Harper              - Round 14
* Anthony Rendon        - Round 22

Bogey9906  3/26/2015 3:10 AM

FWIW, I picked the same six as kslight before I saw his reply. Freeman is a solid choice with that middle round pick. In Round 13, he has more draft value than Cutch or Altuve and is more proven/reliable than your younger late round choices. I generally stay away from closers in longer-term keeper leagues because they usually won't be keeper-worthy for more than a couple of years.

bdavisx  3/27/2015 8:50 AM

May I throw my conundrum into the mix? 13 hitters/9 pitchers play per week, 12 team league. SB are worth 2 points so fast guys with a high BA tend to be very valuable. I can keep only TWO :(

Gerrit Cole $1

Lance Lynn $3

Taijuan Walker $1

Mookie Betts $1

Joc Pederson $1

Billy Hamilton $11

ken_admin  3/27/2015 11:52 AM

Looking at your settings, I would go with Cole and Betts.  Cole is the #17 pitcher, and Betts the #25 hitter.  Both have upside and are young.  Who else of the group were you thinking?

bdavisx  3/27/2015 2:26 PM

I live in LA, so my heart wants to keep Pederson. Also, Taijuan's 18 scoreless innings in spring? For $1? My brain says Cole and Lynn. My heart says Pederson and Taijuan (biggest upside)

ken_admin  3/27/2015 2:58 PM

Not Betts?

bdavisx  3/27/2015 6:55 PM

Aight I'll go Betts and Cole. Solid with some upside. I'll try to bid on Pederson and Taijuan

unbigote  3/27/2015 9:48 PM

Ended up getting the 9th pick out of 12, does this change anyones calculus with regards to letting McCutchen go?

orolo  3/27/2015 9:50 PM

I'm not sure I'd let McCutchen go. I can't imagine any scenario where you get a better player than him at the 9th pick in the first round.

unbigote  3/27/2015 10:29 PM

I definitely won't, but is that offset by the value a guy like Freeman offers in round 13 this year (11 next).

ken_admin  3/28/2015 6:23 AM

I think the original six are your best bet.  You will still have two OF keepers, and I assume you'll also get a very good player in the first.

unbigote  3/28/2015 11:12 AM

Thanks for the help (and the hand holding)!