With my league settings, Kershaw is #1 with a 2.11 value, and Trout is #2 at 1.64. Our draft pool is 338 players deep. Value turns negative at pick #114. When measuring replacement value, considering our 23 starters and 6 man bench, I would intuitively think that the end of round 23 (last starter drafted) would have a value of zero. But that player has a value of -0.59.
I am assuming I am misunderstanding something about how to use "value" here. How can I use value pre-draft to my best advantage? Intuitively I want to add 0.59 to everyone's scores so I can compare values accordingly (making the last guy worth 0). Instead of Kershaw at 2.11 being worth Altuve + Encarnacion, add 0.59 across the board and Kershaw is now worth Wainwright + Puig, a drastic difference.
I know it's important to pay attention to value as a dropoff indicates a bargain relative to where you are drafting or considering an auction bid, but how else can we use value to our advantage, and how do we do it? Is everyone below pick 113 in my example adding an average of statistical contributions that are lower than the end of season averages? Lower than the winner's average? Perhaps it is one of these things and I just need to view value from the proper perspective.
Hope this makes sense kslight, and TIA for any insights you can provide.
100% Agree (1 vote)