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avatarpookie  5/7/2015 10:04 AM

on the odds line which number show the favorite to win the game.


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avatarken_admin  5/7/2015 10:08 AM

I look at the number on the right of the odds. For example, with Archer pitching, the # is (-170) meaning you would need to bet $170 to win $100 if TB wins.  In other words, the more negative this number, the higher the odds the team will win.


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avatarpookie  5/7/2015 10:11 AM
5Drew Pomeranz OAKSP1  +0.23@MIN 

-1.5 (+130) (o/u 8.5) (-120)        so like this one his # is (-120) so his team is the favorite to win


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avatarken_admin  5/7/2015 10:47 AM

Yes, that's correct, and if it were -150, they would be more likely to win than -120.


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avatardescender  5/7/2015 12:25 PM

TL;DR - Looking at BOTH money line numbers is really, really important, and I don't think the way BBM displays them is inherently useful.

Ranty mess: The last set listed here is the "money line", bets based on a straight up pick of the game with no spread. Usually one is positive and the other negative, the "lower" of the two numbers indicating the favorite. You really have to look at both lines though, as you could mistakenly assume that OAK is the favorite here with their -102 if you don't also see the -108 for MIN.

This particular game is a bizarre example where both teams are negative, meaning they are very closely matched... but the favorite isn't the team being given "the points"... which is why you can't rely on just the spread numbers either.

 

This is my breakdown of the rest of the BBM line...

OAK -1.5 (+155) (o/u 8.5) (-102)

MIN +1.5 (-175) (o/u 8.5) (-108)

1.5 runs is the spread (almost always in baseball).

If you bet OAK, they need to win by 2 to win the bet. +155 means for every $100 you bet, you get $155 back (end result: you get your $100 bet back + $155 winnings).

If you bet MIN, they need to either win or "not lose by 2". -175 means you have to bet $175 to win $100 back (you bet $175 and get $275 back, your $175 + $100 winnings).

You can't really derive too much "fantasy worthy" info from the run lines... other than MIN is way more likely to cover this spread than OAK is. The spread itself is not even really relevant, the "money line" is more important to look it. Vegas is basically "tries" to get you to take the worse bet by fudging the odds in OAK's favor.

Over/Under 8.5 runs, pretty straight forward... it appears that we are not seeing the pay line for O/U bets here... so when you see a sportbook line, there is usually another set of +- numbers in there before the "money line". This can be "fantasy useful" if you have borderline SP's with a high O/U you might want to sit them.


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avatarken_admin  5/7/2015 12:37 PM

Much better and thanks for the detail.


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