Pitcher projections for draft kings

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avatarbranceh (5 posts)  8/11/2015 9:49 PM

Can someone give me some insite on pitcher projections.  The pitchers I choose are not performing up to what they're projected.   I go back and look and the pitchers who were not projected to do as with with a low ratio and value which was colored in pink do well.  Can someone give me some advice on what I should look for when selecting the best pitchers?


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avatarkslight (2482 posts)  8/12/2015 7:14 AM

What kind of contests are you betting, 50/50 or GPP?  For single 50/50, I avoid bargain pitchers and pick from one of the top (high K, low over/under, favorable moneyline).


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avatarMajorrock (45 posts)  8/12/2015 4:35 PM

For me i look more at matchup and not projections. I think PHI bats need a boost as those SDP pitchers all were way over projected in the last series. Seems the projections have not caught up with Phillys recent run scoring surge. 

 


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avatarehrenberggreg (82 posts)  8/12/2015 4:54 PM

I use Vegas lines and the over/unders to pick my pitchers and generally pay up for them all my draftkings lineups for tonight have combinations of Kershaw, Degrom, Hammels, and Odorizzi 


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avatarbranceh (5 posts)  8/12/2015 5:00 PM

I play a lot of tournaments.  Thanks for y'all advice.


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avatarsangamc (54 posts)  8/13/2015 8:54 AM

I pick pitchers based on Ballpark, then bullpen (in order to get the win) and finally SiERA to rank them by skill. Since i've started using this method I have picked all the CG pitchers from the last 2 weeks and most of the +20pt pitchers in my lineups.

 

for ballpark factors use this: https://rotogrinders.com/pages/ballpark-factors-49556

for bullpen and teams to avoid pitching against use this: https://rotogrinders.com/pages/mlb-daily-batter-hub-team-stackability-155580

Finally for Sierra and other advanced pitcher stats use: http://www.fangraphs.com/leaders.aspx?pos=all&stats=pit&lg=all&qual=0&type=1&season=2015&month=0&season1=2015&ind=0&team=0&rost=0&age=0&filter=&players=p2015-08-13

 

please note the Fangraphs page has the date in the URL change it to the date of the contests to see the current matchups. You can also put future dates so you can do research the day before saving time.

 

Good Luck


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