Question on projections

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avataratruecubsfan@yahoo.com  5/11/2016 10:28 PM

How far back in data does the projection factor in?  Not disagreeing but as someone who's followed Jackie Bradley Jr.'s performances vs projections it feels its been low.  I'm guessing he's just on a hot streak and is expected to revert to mean?  


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avatarken_admin  5/12/2016 5:30 AM

It's pretty hard for a player to get a good projection batting at the bottom of the order.  Players down there get less PA's and therefore are projected for less hits, runs, rbis.  Also, the players around them tend to be less productive hurting their runs and rbis. I'm sure his projection would look better at the top of the order. A lot of his recent value is coming from home runs so he's not relying on those around him as much.


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avataratruecubsfan@yahoo.com  5/12/2016 10:08 AM

that makes sense.  thanks.  


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