calculate projection from CSV

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avatarsangamc  4/24/2017 8:36 AM

When I take a players projected stats from the CSV and try to calculate the projection using DK scoring, all the projections are off by a few points. Is there something I am missing?


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avatarken_admin  4/24/2017 9:24 AM

Is this all players or do you have an example?  Also, I assume your DFS settings are correct? https://baseballmonster.com/dailysettings.aspx


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avatarsangamc  4/24/2017 11:39 AM

I double checked my DFS settings. I had 'caught stealing' still in there. Which could explain batters, but doesn't affect pitchers. Here is an example Batter and Pitcher (after removing CS)

Mike Trout numbers from CSV:
1b, 2b, 3b, HR, bb, sb, r, rbi, hbp
?0.65, 0.23, 0.01, 0.24, 0.7, 0.19, 0.59, 0.73, 0 
CSV projection = 10.81

Mike Trout BBM projection = 10.75
~~~~~~~

Chris Archer numbers from CSV:
ip, 1b, 2b, 3b, hr, bb, K, ER, cg, W, hbp
6.1, 3.25, 1.36, 0.2, 0.68, 2.17, 6.85, 2.4, 0.04, 0.39, 0
CSV projection = 18.129

Chris Archer BBM projection = 19.46

 

PlayerpositionIP$$TeamOppProj
Chris ArcherSP6.1$10,100TB@ BAL18.13
Zack GreinkeSP6.3$9,400ARISD16.25
Francisco LirianoSP5.5$9,700TOR@ LAA15.00
Tyler AndersonSP5.8$5,400COLWAS14.24
Hyun-Jin RyuSP5.7$10,200LAD@ SF14.07
Amir GarrettSP5.8$6,700CIN@ MIL14.01
Jesse ChavezSP5.7$6,700LAATOR13.30
Jason VargasSP5.7$8,000KC@ CHW12.92
Jhoulys ChacinSP5.6$5,700SD@ ARI11.72
Phil HughesSP5.8$5,500MIN@ TEX11.49
Chad KuhlSP5.3$7,000PITCHC11.53
Miguel GonzalezSP5.6$7,500CHWKC11.32
Brett AndersonSP5.6$7,300CHC@ PIT10.95
Ubaldo JimenezSP5$6,800BALTB10.98
Martin PerezSP5.9$6,300TEXMIN9.95
Matt GarzaSP5.5$5,600MILCIN10.16
Matt CainSP5.4$6,100SFLAD10.19

 


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avatarken_admin  4/24/2017 2:50 PM

Are you using the following for your manual calculations:

Pitchers will accumulate points as follows:

  • Inning Pitched = +2.25 PTs
  • Strike Out = +2 PTs
  • Win = +4 PTs
  • Earned Run Allowed = -2 PTs
  • Hit Against = -0.6 PTs
  • Base on Balls Against = -0.6 PTs
  • Hit Batsman = -0.6 PTs
  • Complete Game = +2.5 PTs
  • Complete Game Shut Out = +2.5 PTs
  • No Hitter = +5 PTs

?We do not project No Hitters or CG Shutouts.

 


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avatarsangamc  4/24/2017 3:54 PM

Argh! No Hitters and CG Shutouts was the issue. A needlessly complex addition to my formula with a typo.

Thanks for the quick response. You should have a "donate" button for those of us who really appreciate your time. Or even a page on Patreon.com :)


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