Three Pitchers, Almost Always Way off

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avatartrendonite  9/4/2019 10:41 PM

Baseball and Basketball Monster are amazing. I'd pay for this just as I pay for Baskets. So, please take this as just a curious question.

The strikeout and inning projections for Lucas Giolito and Zac Gallen (and to a slightly lesser extent), Mike Clevinger are wildly low. This seems to be exclusive to those three. Boyd also got funky there for a while. It seems like the formula might - and I'm an idiot so feel free to tell me if I am wrong, lol - has troublee with guys with high walk rates and high swinging strike rates. 

Any ideas?


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avatardescender  9/6/2019 10:20 AM

It doesn't appear to me that the ROS projections have been adjusted in any way whatsoever all season to adjust for how players are actually performing.  Really disappointing.

The only useful tool here right now is daily/weekly projections set to last 1 or 2 months

 

The "Weekly projections" set and the overall "projections" page is basically useless, and has been for almost the entire season.  I say this as a decade plus user of this website.  It needs work, they are pissing away one of the greatest Fantasy Sports tools on the internet by not keeping it up to date.


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avatartrendonite  9/10/2019 2:32 PM

Thanks for reply. Look at Gallen tonight. If you just look at the base, he is set to pitch five innings and strike out 4.3 tonight. Switch it to last 60 days and it's five innings at 6.1 strikeouts. And what's confusing is they have his K% correct. And again, it SEEMS to be limited to younger high swinging strike guys like Gallen, Giolito (who BM is insanely off on for months now), and Clevinger. And I don't get it because they seem to be fine with most every other pitcher; if they're wrong, it's because the guy had a one-off day. Just confusing. And, again ... I love the product so if any of the powers-that-be are reading this, not being an ass! lol


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avatarken_admin  9/10/2019 5:57 PM

Thanks for the examples, and I'll give these a look.  You're likely right that pitchers with fewer starts are getting punished more than they should.


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