Fantasy Baseball Projection philosophy

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avatarRyan.Piccininni  3/3/2022 10:32 PM

Hi everyone,

This will be my first season doing fantasy baseball. I will be using Baseball Monster to help me with the projections this season. I wanted to know if anyone has any recommendations on what projections from FanGraphs I should use to upload to Baseball Monster daily (Steamer, Steamer600, Deph Charts, ATC etc...). Can you exaplain why you would recommend it?

Thanks!

 


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avatardarrenmcleod  3/7/2022 5:24 PM

Hi Ryan, different people have different preferences. However, ATC is a good one to start with as it averages a bunch of different projection systems, which means you flatten out some of the different projection systems' bigger differences. This tends to make it more accurate overall (although, of course, it will definitely miss a breakout or bust quite frequently, just like all projection systems do). One thing to note: Steamer600 estimates 600 plate appearances for every single person, so don't use it as a baseline projection system. However, it can be helpful for examining the skill level of rookies or other players with less certain playing time -- this is because those players look bad under most projection systems as they will have fewer plate appearances or innings pitched, so less opportunity to earn stats. Alternatively, you can also use BaseballMonster's "per game value" feature on the projection page, which does roughly the same thing with any projection system you use.


100% Agree (5 votes)
avatarRyan.Piccininni  3/24/2022 11:50 AM

Thanks!


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