The next best hurler available

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avatarConstantine9  6/7/2013 8:55 AM

Rest of season projections have Wade Miley looking the best of the bunch. Of course, those same projections have Roy Oswalt with a 1.25 WHIP in Colorado, which I shan't believe. I also don't trust Kluber, Smyly or Jackson as SPs. Others available include Blanton, Gee, Scott Baker and Daniel Hudson. There is, of course, the siren song of Ubaldo, who has pitched well lately except for a blowup to Detroit.

Would you go with the projections, or maybe take a flyer on Brandon Morrow when he comes back?


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avatarmbuser   6/7/2013 11:05 AM

Of those options, I might snag Morrow and see if the DL trip was all he needed. He's got that K/9 upside that nobody else can touch. Your other options is streaming based on matchups.


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avatarmymaus  6/8/2013 9:45 AM

You mention Morrow and that made me think of a different but related issue. Josh Johnson is stilll available in my league. The thing that has kept me from taking a flier on him (other than his bad starts previous to SF including getting hammered in rehab) is his Ease ROS. Toronto (and most of the rest of the AL East) has a horrible pitching Ease schedule ROS.   My question...how much do you let that enter into you decision about pciking up a pitcher.

That made me think of another idea (which I will be adding to a similar idea I posted in the Website Idea forum).....why not adjust your ROS projections using your Ease factor. Even better....while you're at it, use your projections (instead of past performance) and your park adjustment factor to calculate your Ease factor before applying it to ROS projections. Because I know this may introduce a loop of adjusmtents (i.e. using hitter projections to adjust Ease and using Ease to adjust pitcher projections and I am suggesting using pitcher projections to adjust Ease which will be used to adjust ROS hitter projections which I am suggesting to be used to adjust Ease which will be used to adjust pitching projections etc........) I suggest the following ...start with your current ROS hitter projections (i.e. not adjusted by Ease/park factor yet) and then make the Ease/parkfactor adjustment for ROS pitcher projections based on that.. Then for hitters use you current ROS pitcher projections (i.e. not adjusted by Ease/park factor yet) and then make the Ease/parkfactor adjustment for ROS hitter projections based on that.

I's like to hear your thoughts. I will be posting this idea in a thread I started in the Website Ideas section too.

Thanks

 

I suggested in the Website Ideas forum that BM make the Ease 


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avatarmbuser   6/8/2013 10:20 AM

I would say to use Ease as more of a tiebreaker than an absolute. So lean towards better Ease if it's reasonably close, but take the better player more often than not.

I'll save the adjustment-related discussion for that thread.


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