Curtis Granderson

scottkimberly  2/24/2013 5:59 PM

Reports that he is out ten weeks with a broken arm.

Any thoughts on draft day value? How far will be drop?

Also, I am in a keeper league. My current keepers are Kershaw, Beltre, and Granderson. I could cut Grando loose and keep Greinke or Bumgarner instead. Would you make that move?

ken_admin  2/24/2013 8:58 PM

10 weeks would put him out for a month or about 30 games which leaves 120-130 games.  I wouldn't expect him to drop more than 3-5 rounds depending on the size of your league.  For much of last year, he batted 2nd in the order, and it's likely he'll be batting lower in the order (behind Ichiro, Jeter, Cano, and Teixeira) so his projected value will be less than last year already.  I'd be OK going with one of the pitchers over him as my keeper with Bumgarner being my preference.

Would that weaken your hitting too much?

scottkimberly  2/24/2013 10:34 PM

I'm already at a disadvantage since my keepers may be worst in the league (one guy has Trout, Pujols, and Cano!). That being said, some positions are very deep, and it seems like, if I write off a more difficult stat (e.g. average), I may be able to field a competent hitting squad and a very deep rotation.

scottkimberly  2/24/2013 10:35 PM

On Granderson, when he returns he will bat bottom of the order, which means he will probably still hit for power and drive in runs, but may not run as much (age/injury) and certainly will not score as many runs. I have to believe, on the whole, his value will be down this year. Bad average, marginal steals, decent runs, and great power numbers. Not exactly a top tier guy, even when healthy, in my opinion.

ken_admin  2/25/2013 8:30 AM

Yes, lower in the order will mean less ABs too.

scottkimberly  3/12/2013 10:40 AM

Where are people drafting him nowadays?

mbuser   3/12/2013 1:13 PM

For h2h purposes, you have to like his per-game prospects once he's back. For roto, you are looking at injury and the big-time drain on AVG. Interestingly enough, Andy Behrens has him at 70 overall and nobody else has him ranked in the top 100 among Yahoo! experts in the most recent update. That's a pretty serious disparity: http://sports.yahoo.com/news/2013-fantasy-baseball-rankings--top-100-190713459.html