In my H2H OBP league I’m thinking about proposing Donaldson, Pujols and R. Soriano for Cargo, Harper and Morse. With Zimmerman coming off the DL, I’ll have 3B covered and a DL spot open.
Here’s my logic:
When both are healthy Cargo is better than Donaldson, unfortunately, Cargo seems to be always banged up so I think I have to downgrade him to only slightly better than Donaldson, although health is a big risk for me.
Pujols is only slightly better than Morse. Before you automatically reject that statement, according to heatmaps Morse average flyball=320 ft (4th highest in MLB and 35’ more than last year) with a high angle whereas Pujols=278 (trending down even during this year) with medium angle. Morse has a better ISO, LD and IFFB rate though Pujols does hit a few more flyballs. Morse was playing with a bad wrist last year and is now healthy, Pujols never got his foot fixed and looks bad running. I know all the projections have Pujols MUCH better than Morse but I don’t think projeciton systems do well with injuries and since Morse was injured last year and is healthy now (as proven by his batted ball distance among other things) his projections are probably under estimated. On the Pujols side..he looks terrible running and his flyball distance is 10’ less tha last year so I don’t think he is any more healthy than he was last year.
Harper definitely better value than R. Soriano especially when I can pick up Qualls on the WW. Yeah I know Qualls<Soriano but not by the as much as Raja Davis (who I would eventually drop) < Harper.
I’m definitely making the playoffs in our league so Harper would be a HUGE help at the end of the year and when you combine that with the fact that my of of the cats in my league is Errors (Donaldson has 9 already this season) I think I have a winning trade here.
Please grade on scale of 1-10 (1=don’t do it, 5=fair, 10=huge win) and give reaction to my analysis.
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