Pitcher Daily Win Projections

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avatargehrenberg   8/7/2014 3:26 PM

I have noticed that every day there are at least one or two games where the starting pitchers win projection equals over one total win. When including the bullpens it seems these projections are pretty far off. Is there any way to get this corrected or is it just too difficult to predict a starting pitchers chance at getting a win. 


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avatargehrenberg   8/7/2014 3:28 PM

For the record I looked at up and both starting pitchers receive a no decision about 23% of time 


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avatarken_admin  8/7/2014 3:30 PM

Yes, they're still a little high with two good pitchers. When adding the RPs, they will definitely be high since we're never sure which RP will pitch, and we give them all an opportunity to appear. We should have the SP adjustments ready in the next couple of days.


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avatargehrenberg   8/7/2014 3:34 PM

Okay cool thanks just some of them do seem pretty off like for tomorrow Strasburg (.541) vs Santana (.463) = 1.04 total wins when I am assuming their combined wins should equal out to somewhere around .8 or so. I don't mean to be a nudge just trying to help the projections be as accurate as possible. 


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avatarken_admin  8/7/2014 3:36 PM

It's perfectly fine, and we do appreciate it.


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