Vegas Lines and RP's

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avatardescender  8/15/2014 9:51 AM

If this is not already done, I think it would be useful if the Vegas lines for games was influencing the daily projections for RP's.  It doesn't make much sense to start an RP that isn't playing in a game they are expected to win (no saves/holds) over one that might have slightly worse stats, but a considerably better chance at having a lead when they pitch.

My first example would be from today's daily projections.  Why would I start Benoit/Melancon/Miller over Wade Davis (as the projections say to) if Vegas thinks SD/PIT/BAL are all going to lose today and KC will win?  Not to say that Vegas is perfect at predicting games, but they are certainly not bad at it!


100% Agree (1 vote)
avatarken_admin  8/15/2014 10:22 AM

That makes sense, and incorporating the odds into the projections (optionally) makes sense. After this season, we'll have a full set of odds to compare with actual results so analyzing that will likely lead to some adjustments.


0% Agree (0 votes)

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