H2H Points Playoffs

descender  9/9/2014 11:04 AM

H2H points, 10 teams.  

I've stacked up ~23 starts (8 guys going yesterday and today, woot)... I'm just unsure about the offense for the week.

Should I drop a cold Markakis right now?

The weekly projections say that Crisp (will he play all week?), McCann (projected to play every game this week and a DH, won't happen), Beltran (also a DH bench candidate), Mercer, Napoli (sick and cold?) would be better options for this week, but I'm not completely enthralled with any of them.  I was considering Pearce or Ozuna (extremely hot).

Obviously all of this indecision has led to no move being made.  I already dropped Ackley for Walker (util spot) this morning so I don't have to worry about his ankle.  I think I should win this week regardless of my offense, but you can never be too careful.  The weekly projections only have me outscoring my opponent by 30, and I have a 30 point lead from Monday.

(Points Per Stat)

Round	Rank	Value	Name	Injury	Team	Pos	g	News	AB	R	H	RBI	BB	K	BA	HR	SB	1B	2B	3B	CS	HRV	RBIV	SBV	RV	BBV	1BV	2BV	3BV	KV	CSV
1	8	77.20	Encarnacion, Edwin		TOR	1B/3B	17		61	10	17	11	9	9	0.274	4	1	9	4	0	0	15.79	22.56	1.76	20.76	9.14	8.98	7.21	0.36	-9.27	-0.08
2	11	75.80	Martinez, Victor		DET	1B	16		60	9	20	12	6	5	0.332	3	0	14	3	0	0	10.81	24.52	0.56	18.38	6.22	13.67	6.76	0.00	-4.92	-0.19
3	30	64.85	Gordon, Alex		KC	OF	19		72	9	20	10	7	16	0.275	2	1	13	4	1	0	9.54	19.90	4.11	18.03	6.67	12.63	8.41	1.69	-15.72	-0.41
4	34	63.78	Kinsler, Ian		DET	2B	17		71	10	19	7	5	9	0.272	2	2	13	4	0	0	6.94	13.98	5.42	20.11	4.78	13.45	7.68	1.12	-9.36	-0.34
4	36	62.57	Revere, Ben		PHI	OF	16		70	7	22	5	2	5	0.316	0	6	20	2	1	1	0.16	10.08	16.71	14.80	1.52	19.53	3.42	2.45	-5.37	-0.73
5	46	60.63	Holliday, Matt		STL	OF	17		62	9	16	8	8	11	0.264	3	0	10	4	0	0	10.21	16.96	1.01	17.95	7.68	9.98	7.53	0.00	-10.63	-0.05
7	69	55.03	Walker, Neil		PIT	2B	16		56	7	16	9	5	9	0.282	2	0	11	3	0	0	9.81	18.12	0.79	13.95	4.90	10.61	5.19	0.65	-8.81	-0.18
8	71	54.98	Peralta, Jhonny		STL	SS	16		59	8	17	9	6	11	0.286	2	0	10	4	0	0	8.58	17.08	0.82	15.02	5.79	10.14	8.96	0.42	-11.46	-0.35
8	73	54.49	Markakis, Nick		BAL	OF	17		69	10	19	5	6	9	0.276	1	0	14	3	0	0	5.23	10.11	0.89	20.10	6.15	14.42	6.52	0.37	-9.17	-0.12
9	82	53.40	Mauer, Joe		MIN	C/1B	17		64	8	18	8	8	12	0.286	1	0	14	3	0	0	4.10	15.19	0.94	16.43	8.14	13.87	6.61	0.18	-11.92	-0.13
Round	Rank	Value	Name	Injury	Team	Pos	g	News	AB	R	H	RBI	BB	K	BA	HR	SB	1B	2B	3B	CS	HRV	RBIV	SBV	RV	BBV	1BV	2BV	3BV	KV	CSV
		622.73	Avg Stats/Total Values				168		644	88	184	84	61	97	0.286	20	11	127	34	2	3	81.16	168.50	33.01	175.52	61.00	127.28	68.28	7.22	-96.65	-2.59

Round	Rank	Value	Name	Injury	Team	Pos	g	News	IP	H	RA	ER	BB	SO	HR	ERA	W	SV	QS	IPV	WV	SVV	ERV	SOV	BBV	QSV
1	1	90.97	Hernandez, Felix		SEA	SP	4		27.5	19	7	7	5	29	1	2.24	2	0	3	27.46	9.40	0.00	-6.82	57.31	-5.49	9.11
1	5	85.34	Sale, Chris		CHW	SP	4		25.2	20	8	7	5	28	2	2.58	2	0	3	25.22	8.15	0.00	-7.23	55.99	-4.93	8.15
2	17	65.17	Kennedy, Ian		SD	SP	4		22.5	22	9	8	8	23	2	3.21	1	0	3	22.49	6.40	0.00	-8.03	45.23	-8.50	7.57
2	18	64.22	Cole, Gerrit		PIT	SP	4		22.1	21	9	8	7	21	2	3.18	2	0	2	22.14	8.20	0.00	-7.83	41.76	-7.43	7.37
4	31	59.48	Kuroda, Hiroki		NYY	SP	4		26.1	26	12	11	6	18	3	3.77	1	0	2	26.10	7.01	0.00	-10.95	35.67	-5.80	7.44
4	39	58.27	Liriano, Francisco		PIT	SP	3		19.3	16	8	7	9	21	2	3.49	1	0	2	19.32	7.33	0.00	-7.49	41.60	-8.97	6.48
5	41	58.00	Wood, Alex		ATL	SP/RP	3		19.7	18	8	7	6	19	2	3.15	1	0	2	19.75	6.84	0.00	-6.91	37.65	-5.88	6.56
5	50	55.53	Wacha, Michael		STL	SP/RP	3		19.3	16	7	7	6	18	2	3.16	1	0	2	19.28	6.86	0.00	-6.76	35.14	-5.78	6.79
6	54	54.34	Tanaka, Masahiro		NYY	SP	3		18.6	17	8	7	4	18	2	3.41	1	0	2	18.62	5.23	0.00	-7.05	35.59	-3.62	5.57
7	68	51.42	Koehler, Tom		MIA	SP/RP	4		21.5	20	10	9	8	17	2	3.76	1	0	2	21.53	7.09	0.00	-9.01	33.16	-8.18	6.83
8	73	50.08	Weaver, Jered		LAA	SP	3		21.4	20	10	9	6	16	2	3.96	1	0	2	21.35	6.56	0.00	-9.40	31.89	-6.17	5.85
8	76	49.82	Leake, Mike		CIN	SP	3		20.2	21	9	8	5	16	2	3.55	1	0	2	20.23	5.35	0.00	-7.99	31.02	-4.86	6.06
11	108	43.60	Bauer, Trevor		CLE	SP	3		17.2	17	8	8	8	16	2	4.07	1	0	2	17.19	5.08	0.00	-7.78	32.09	-7.91	4.93
14	137	38.61	Locke, Jeff		PIT	SP	3		17.3	17	8	8	7	12	2	4.03	1	0	2	17.35	5.97	0.00	-7.76	24.63	-6.67	5.09
Round	Rank	Value	Name	Injury	Team	Pos	g	News	IP	H	RA	ER	BB	SO	HR	ERA	W	SV	QS	IPV	WV	SVV	ERV	SOV	BBV	QSV
		824.84	Avg Stats/Total Values				48		298.0	270	121	111	90	269	28	3.35	19	0	31	298.03	95.48	0.00	-111.01	538.72	-90.19	93.81

ken_admin  9/9/2014 12:15 PM

Of those offensive choices, Ozuna stands out for me over Markakis. As you point out, those others all have some red flags.

descender  9/9/2014 12:47 PM

In doing a little more work on this, I notice that Ozuna is on the road all week and hitting .247/.292/.399 on the road this year... so he's out.

Going to look over Mercer and Pearce again.

descender  9/12/2014 11:33 PM

Ended up picking up Mercer after Markakis went 0/4 on weds.  Paid off!

EDIT: I'm purposely not mentioning all of Ozuna's HR's.  Grumble :(

descender  9/14/2014 3:29 PM

Currently leading 613 - 431.  I think I grabbed a few too many pitchers :p

descender  9/15/2014 3:45 PM

OK Finals week for me :)  Forgive me for the rambling I'm about to do, I juts want to say all of this out loud-ish.

Since I overshot on last weeks # of starters, I only ended up with Kennedy and Eovaldi as 2 start pitchers this week.

Top available options for the rest of this week "by projections" are

Morton (only projected 2 start SP left... playing with a hernia), Rasmus (not really interested in 4ip), Alvarez, Delgado, Nolasco, Wada, Chase Anderson, Garza

There are caveats to all of this... I can't really drop a pitcher until wednesday since I'll need Kennedy and Eovaldi again on Sunday... which basically rules out Alvarez/Delgado/Nolasco.  I doubt the difference between them and any other single start pitcher I already have would be that much.

If I want to add Morton for 2 potential starts I have to drop May (vs CLE) or Kuroda (vs TOR) before their start this week, so I would only actually be netting 1 hypothetical added start on Sunday vs the Brewers and the difference between the guy I drop and Morton vs BoSux.  I'm not convinced that's actually worth the trouble.

Now that I've typed that all out, I guess I should now shift my focus to a thursday-sunday starter on wednesday.

Morton vs MIL, Wada vs LAD, Anderson @ COL, Garza @ PIT, Lohse @ STL

?None of those options by themselves seem great... I might test Anderson @ COL (he only uses curve 20% so lack of break may not kill him?)  Do I drop May/Kuroda or another starter on my team to pick up Morton?  

Am i just running myself in circles? :p  The guy I'm playing currently has 1 more scheduled start than I do, but still has all 4 of his moves available to him (i used 2 of mine on Eovaldi and Salazar already).

Halp.

(Points Per Stat)

Round	Rank	Value	Name	Injury	Team	Pos	g	News	AB	R	H	RBI	BB	K	BA	HR	SB	1B	2B	3B	CS	HRV	RBIV	SBV	RV	BBV	1BV	2BV	3BV	KV	CSV
1	6	55.91	Encarnacion, Edwin		TOR	1B/3B	12		45	8	12	8	7	7	0.270	3	0	7	3	0	0	11.57	16.17	1.24	15.27	6.68	6.56	5.18	0.27	-6.97	-0.05
1	8	55.71	Martinez, Victor		DET	1B	12		43	7	14	9	5	3	0.336	2	0	10	2	0	0	7.96	18.15	0.38	13.42	4.54	9.98	4.84	0.00	-3.43	-0.12
3	28	45.18	Kinsler, Ian		DET	2B	12		52	7	14	5	3	7	0.268	1	1	10	3	0	0	4.91	9.47	3.89	14.63	3.42	9.65	5.61	0.81	-6.96	-0.23
4	36	43.90	Gordon, Alex		KC	OF	13		49	6	13	7	5	11	0.271	2	1	8	3	0	0	6.48	13.94	2.86	11.95	4.61	8.49	5.56	1.12	-10.84	-0.27
4	38	43.35	Revere, Ben		PHI	OF	11		48	5	15	4	1	4	0.319	0	4	13	1	1	1	0.20	7.10	11.42	10.18	0.98	13.43	2.46	1.68	-3.56	-0.55
5	48	41.02	Holliday, Matt		STL	OF	11		41	6	11	6	5	7	0.268	2	0	7	3	0	0	6.86	11.64	0.63	11.96	5.07	6.82	5.04	0.00	-6.99	-0.03
7	68	38.49	Walker, Neil		PIT	2B	11		40	5	11	6	4	6	0.278	2	0	7	2	0	0	6.81	12.70	0.55	9.81	3.54	7.42	3.71	0.46	-6.38	-0.13
9	88	36.53	Peralta, Jhonny		STL	SS	11		39	5	11	6	4	7	0.290	1	0	7	3	0	0	5.61	12.04	0.51	9.29	3.82	6.74	5.84	0.27	-7.37	-0.22
10	93	35.93	Mauer, Joe		MIN	C/1B	12		44	6	12	5	6	8	0.282	1	0	9	2	0	0	2.68	10.14	0.59	11.26	5.63	9.32	4.52	0.13	-8.27	-0.08
11	107	33.52	Mercer, Jordy		PIT	2B/SS	12		42	5	12	5	3	8	0.280	1	0	8	2	0	0	3.82	10.78	0.87	9.36	2.71	8.18	4.87	0.68	-7.58	-0.17
Round	Rank	Value	Name	Injury	Team	Pos	g	News	AB	R	H	RBI	BB	K	BA	HR	SB	1B	2B	3B	CS	HRV	RBIV	SBV	RV	BBV	1BV	2BV	3BV	KV	CSV
		429.55	Avg Stats/Total Values				117		443	59	126	61	41	68	0.286	14	8	87	24	2	2	56.90	122.11	22.94	117.14	41.01	86.59	47.63	5.42	-68.34	-1.85

Round	Rank	Value	Name	Injury	Team	Pos	g	News	IP	H	RA	ER	BB	SO	HR	ERA	W	SV	QS	IPV	WV	SVV	ERV	SOV	BBV	QSV
1	1	66.95	Hernandez, Felix		SEA	SP	3		20.2	14	5	5	4	21	1	2.24	1	0	2	20.24	6.85	0.00	-5.03	42.23	-4.05	6.71
1	5	58.89	Sale, Chris		CHW	SP	2		17.3	14	5	5	3	19	1	2.54	1	0	2	17.26	5.56	0.00	-4.87	38.77	-3.45	5.62
2	14	48.63	Kennedy, Ian		SD	SP	3		16.6	17	6	6	6	17	1	3.16	1	0	2	16.57	4.68	0.00	-5.81	33.81	-6.26	5.64
2	19	44.61	Cole, Gerrit		PIT	SP	2		15.1	14	6	5	5	14	1	3.14	1	0	2	15.15	5.70	0.00	-5.29	28.98	-5.01	5.10
3	23	43.83	Salazar, Danny		CLE	SP	2		13.9	14	6	5	4	15	2	3.42	1	0	2	13.86	4.81	0.00	-5.27	30.03	-4.47	4.86
4	33	41.95	Wood, Alex		ATL	SP/RP	2		14.3	13	5	5	4	14	1	3.15	1	0	2	14.26	5.00	0.00	-4.99	27.19	-4.25	4.74
5	41	40.36	Kuroda, Hiroki		NYY	SP	3		17.4	17	8	7	4	12	2	3.71	1	0	2	17.40	4.61	0.00	-7.16	24.24	-3.79	5.06
5	43	39.91	Liriano, Francisco		PIT	SP	2		13.2	11	6	5	6	14	1	3.49	1	0	1	13.22	5.06	0.00	-5.13	28.47	-6.14	4.43
7	69	35.32	Eovaldi, Nathan		MIA	SP	2		15.0	16	6	6	4	10	1	3.44	1	0	2	14.99	4.61	0.00	-5.72	20.88	-4.26	4.83
8	78	34.24	Weaver, Jered		LAA	SP	2		14.6	14	7	6	4	11	2	3.96	1	0	1	14.61	4.47	0.00	-6.43	21.82	-4.22	4.00
9	85	33.30	Leake, Mike		CIN	SP	2		13.5	14	6	5	3	10	1	3.52	1	0	1	13.49	3.58	0.00	-5.28	20.68	-3.24	4.07
10	92	32.51	Tanaka, Masahiro		NYY	SP	2		11.2	10	5	4	2	11	1	3.41	1	0	1	11.17	3.05	0.00	-4.23	21.35	-2.17	3.34
11	108	30.50	Bauer, Trevor		CLE	SP	2		12.0	12	6	5	6	11	1	4.06	1	0	1	12.03	3.56	0.00	-5.43	22.46	-5.59	3.45
18	177	18.77	May, Trevor		MIN	SP	1		7.5	8	4	3	3	7	1	3.91	0	0	1	7.50	2.26	0.00	-3.26	13.06	-3.18	2.39
Round	Rank	Value	Name	Injury	Team	Pos	g	News	IP	H	RA	ER	BB	SO	HR	ERA	W	SV	QS	IPV	WV	SVV	ERV	SOV	BBV	QSV
		569.77	Avg Stats/Total Values				33		201.7	187	80	74	60	187	19	3.30	13	0	21	201.74	63.81	0.00	-73.89	373.96	-60.08	64.23

jyang61107  9/15/2014 3:52 PM

I use the pick on another streaming hitter for more points.

descender  9/15/2014 4:04 PM

This is H2H points. 

4 points from a batter on the one off day Thursday is not going to outweigh the 10 points I can get from a mediocre start in this league. All I really need are IP and K's, ER's aren't really negative enough to matter.

ken_admin  9/15/2014 4:04 PM

I'm not sure Morton is worth the risk plus it would be nice to save those two transactions and use them later in the week for what you need.

descender  9/15/2014 4:07 PM

I suppose the Morton risk is really the only decision I need to make today.  Otherwise I can't really even make a move until wednesday (for thursday).

I'm not missing any other possibilities for a 2SP other than Morton that aren't showing up in the projections right?  Wacha is gonna be shut down, and everyone else pitching today has an off day Thursday pushing their next start to Monday?

I also have not read about anyone pitching on short rest for the playoff run?

ken_admin  9/15/2014 4:11 PM

If you don't care about ERA/WHIP, then Morton would make sense. Obviously, his IP and K's are the best you're going to find with two starts.

descender  9/18/2014 11:17 AM

The guy I'm playing has had DeGrom, Wilson, Samardizja and Paxton all pitch gems for him.

I get Sale throwing in the towel.  

SIGH.  H2H is the worst.

mbuser   9/18/2014 11:21 AM

Actually that's the beauty of it. Or something.

jyang61107  9/18/2014 11:30 AM

I feel ya.  This guy had a stacked team of hitter but sat out most of the playoff week and he lost to me