Anyone care to gauge my offers for a power bat?

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avatarunbigote  5/9/2014 5:00 PM

6 keeper league, 12 team h2h 5x5. I'm targeting Encarnacion and Freeman (on different teams). I don't consider everyone involved keepers, but I'm putting including their round value anyway. The plan is to propose both and hope one is accepted, but I wanted to get the boards thoughts first.

Offer I: Kimbrel (7) + Dozier (18) + J. Castro (garbage) for Y. Molina (6) + Encarnacion (10)

Offer II: Kimbrel (7) + Dozier (18) for Freeman (15)

I know projections love Kimbrel, but I think I can spare him given my roster. I would put Samardjzia (10) in the second offer, but I am afraid it might be too much of a low-ball. Thoughts on either?

 

12 Teams | 12 Hitters Per Team [5 Active = HR RBI SB R BA] | 7 Pitchers Per Team [5 Active = W SV ERA WHIP SO]

RoundRankValueNameInjuryTeamPosgNewsABRHRBIBBKBAHRSBHRVRBIVSBVRVBAV
131.35McCutchen, Andrew PITOF125 463731457262850.31319180.841.470.761.392.30
3280.46Carpenter, Matt STL2B/3B121 497841525060880.30683-0.99-0.34-0.712.371.99
4460.21Heyward, Jason ATLOF114 459781194857990.2591990.78-0.49-0.081.90-1.07
5520.17Martinez, Victor DET1B1145/8/2014 11:45 PM Victor Martinez went 3-for-4 with a solo-home run in Thursday's loss to Houston.427531286937380.300111-0.501.23-0.90-0.361.39
662-0.04Brantley, Michael CLEOF1215/8/2014 8:15 PM Michael Brantley went 3-for-5 with a double, a home run, three RBI and two runs scored during the Indians' 9-4 win over the Twins on Thursday.433511225635430.281917-0.820.180.66-0.500.29
666-0.06Segura, Jean MILSS117 466561274325690.273828-0.98-0.891.81-0.07-0.20
671-0.15Seager, Kyle SEA3B120 418541095543830.2621870.540.10-0.30-0.28-0.80
781-0.21Dozier, Brian MIN2B116 4806511841431020.24614210.04-1.011.140.74-1.97
885-0.22Yelich, Christian MIAOF114 4426311841531200.2671017-0.72-1.030.670.51-0.55
896-0.33Aoki, Norichika KCOF111 459631303543390.283515-1.57-1.490.480.510.40
11123-0.49Castro, JasonHOUC1025/9/2014 3:44 PM Jason Castro is not in the Astros starting lineup on Friday.377519952451050.263131-0.16-0.15-0.89-0.57-0.70
12139-0.62Springer, George HOUOF1145/8/2014 11:54 PM George Springer belted his first career Major League home run on Thursday, a two-run shot, for his only hit in three at-bats with a walk in the 6-2 victory over the Tigers.378488941421280.23615160.13-1.000.64-0.82-2.07
16187-1.04Harper, BryceWASOF59 20430573426460.279105-0.75-1.62-0.45-2.440.08
26308-1.92Baez, Javier CHCSS30 1091327155340.24472-1.29-3.09-0.80-3.95-0.48
RoundRankValueNameInjuryTeamPosgNewsABRHRBIBBKBAHRSBHRVRBIVSBVRVBAV
  -2.90Avg Stats/Total Values   1477 5,6107811,5396545751,0790.274167159-5.45-8.132.04-1.58-1.40
  0.05Avg Stats/Total Values (active)   1389 5,2977391,4556055449990.275150152-3.41-3.413.294.81-1.00
RoundRankValueNameInjuryTeamPosgNewsIPHRAERBBSOHRERAWSVWHIPWVSVVERAVWHIPVSOV
141.00Hernandez, Felix SEASP26 179.8163615643183152.811201.151.10-0.592.050.781.68
180.79Kimbrel, Craig ATLRP57 56.4341110188831.633340.91-1.612.342.161.76-0.70
1110.55Greinke, Zack LADSP24 151.6132575338141143.121201.120.86-0.590.661.200.63
2140.41Jansen, Kenley LADRP56 55.5391413188252.103271.01-1.501.751.541.13-0.86
3290.05Minor, Mike ATLSP25 155.2144656041136173.461201.190.86-0.59-0.50-0.030.51
3320.00Robertson, David NYYRP53 50.1391615165742.683281.09-1.581.800.730.56-1.48
444-0.12Wood, Alex ATLSP/RP19 124.9114484441120103.15901.240.24-0.590.47-0.820.09
663-0.32Kluber, Corey CLESP23 133.7143524832123133.211001.310.35-0.590.32-1.860.19
667-0.34Samardzija, Jeff CHCSP25 165.4152726658163193.601001.270.38-0.59-1.06-1.591.17
670-0.38Melancon, Mark PITRP52 51.6451615124832.61441.11-1.26-0.230.830.43-1.70
10117-0.65Hawkins, LaTroy COLRP53 50.0522220123653.604191.27-1.451.01-0.32-0.49-2.01
11127-0.70Stroman, Marcus TORSP21 127.9122595543117163.84901.290.09-0.59-1.52-1.490.02
RoundRankValueNameInjuryTeamPosgNewsIPHRAERBBSOHRERAWSVWHIPWVSVVERAVWHIPVSOV
  0.30Avg Stats/Total Values   433 1,302.31,1794934543701,2921233.13911121.19-3.522.535.35-0.42-2.47
  0.88Avg Stats/Total Values (active)   346 764.1668277255217791703.00521121.16-5.064.905.422.56-3.40

0% Agree (0 votes)
avatarken_admin  5/10/2014 9:09 AM

Both look helpful for your team, but would they accept those offers? I imagine Encarnacion and Feeman were selected before Kimbrel so it hinges in the perceived value of Dozier. 


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avatarunbigote  5/10/2014 10:29 AM

 

but would they accept those offers?

I really don't think so, though Kimbrel, Encarnacion and Freeman were all carried over as keepers.  I find it quite difficult to come up with trades that pass the eye test and comport with baseballmonster projected rankings.


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avatarken_admin  5/10/2014 10:44 AM

Determining the relative value between hitters and pitchers is the issue since hitters or pitchers can be inflated based on the categories selected. We are going to work on a method to better compare the player types, but for now, looking at expected ADP is the best way to see how your league values players. In your case, I would expect Kimbrel to be a 4th-5th round player while the top 1B go 1st, 2nd, or 3rd.


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avatarunbigote  5/10/2014 11:31 AM

Please don't read my statement as a knock on the site in any way; in my opinion, baseball (and basketball) monster are by far the best resources around for fantasy sports. That said, I'm excited to see what you guys come up with to compare players.

Also, you're quite right as far as where the players would have gone in a redraft. I simply find it hard to offer a player like Kimbrel knowing his perceived value is that of a guy in the 4th-5th round, while also being aware (thanks to BBM) he is providing my team 2nd round value. (Hopefully that explanation makes sense.)

Confusing sentences aside, I am going to propose both deals with Samardzija included. I'm actually very optimistic about Dozier going forward, and perhaps I can convince the other managers to share my opinion. I think his skill set makes him a poor man's Kinsler of yesteryear; obviously a bit different K/BB profile, but similar speed/power potential at 2B.


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avatarken_admin  5/10/2014 11:47 AM

If you can find an owner who's desperate for saves, you may be able to pull it off. Good luck.


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