Keeper Draft Strategy

Mvand  3/24/2015 10:24 AM

Have a 12 team Roto keeper draft coming up this weekend. Standard 5x5, except QS instead of Wins. It's a keeper league, so I have the following guys on my squad in their respective draft slots:

• Victor Martinez - 15th round
• Anthony Rendon - 23rd round
• Mark Melancon - 24th round
• Joc Pederson - 25th round

Keepers can be kept for 3 years and move up 2 spots per year. All 4 players are in their 1st year as keepers.

The issue I'm facing is that we also allow draft pick trades and I traded my 1st, 3rd, and 10th round picks in this draft in order to win the title last year.

Considering that I'm at a big disadvantage in draft picks, I'm trying to look at different approaches at the draft that may set me apart.

The main one is going zero SP and exploiting our innings limit (1400 IP). Our pitching rosters are 2 SP/2 RP/4 P with a 5 player bench.

My current thinking is that I'll ignore pitching entirely until my lineup is completely filled. That would take me to round 11 or 12, depending if I want to start the season with Joc as a starter. After that, I would focus on high innings and K RP like Boxberger, Petit, etc. Later, I can just grab a few SP that will log a ton of innings with decent ratios. I'd be punting QSs and probably wouldn't be better than middle of the pack in Ks, but I could be very competitive in SV/ERA/WHIP.

I think this is my best chance at being competitive. Any other suggestions? Maybe I should also punt a hitting category?

ken_admin  3/24/2015 2:06 PM

Unless some good SP drop past the 3rd round, your strategy looks good.  I assume the 2nd round will be the best hitter available no matter what? Since you're punting 1 (or 2) pitching cats, I'm not sure you can afford to punt any hitting, and if you do grab a hitter in the 2nd, you're not too far behind the competition.

Mvand  3/29/2015 9:44 PM

This experimental strategy worked in the draft, now let's see how it does ...

12 Teams | 10 Hitters Per Team [5 Active = HR RBI SB R BA] | 8 Pitchers Per Team [4 Active = SV ERA WHIP SO, 1 Punted = QS]

Round	Rank	TRank	PuntV	LeagV	Punt+	Name	Inj	Team	Pos	g	News	AB	R	H	RBI	BB	K	BA	HR	SB	HRV	RBIV	SBV	RV	BAV
2	17	10	0.83	0.83	0.00	Jose Altuve		HOU	2B	157		683	95	213	72	35	63	0.311	7	49	-1.48	-0.54	2.95	1.07	2.17
3	35	19	0.51	0.51	0.00	Albert Pujols		LAA	1B	146		595	94	164	105	47	71	0.276	27	4	0.79	1.53	-0.64	0.94	-0.08
5	50	28	0.33	0.33	0.00	Victor Martinez	Day to Day - Questionable - left knee surgery - is questionable for 4/6 against Minnesota	DET	1B	138		527	76	170	94	58	42	0.322	21	2	0.10	0.82	-0.83	-0.68	2.22
5	60	33	0.25	0.25	0.00	Kole Calhoun		LAA	OF	149		630	107	171	75	54	133	0.272	22	7	0.21	-0.35	-0.46	2.14	-0.32
7	79	44	0.10	0.10	0.00	Anthony Rendon	Day to Day - Questionable - sprained left MCL - is questionable for 4/6 against the NY Mets	WAS	2B/3B	149		601	99	164	72	60	119	0.273	18	13	-0.25	-0.51	0.05	1.42	-0.21
8	86	49	0.02	0.02	0.00	Ryan Zimmerman		WAS	3B/OF	146		568	81	157	96	57	110	0.276	22	2	0.21	0.98	-0.82	-0.21	-0.03
10	118	60	-0.14	-0.14	0.00	Elvis Andrus		TEX	SS	154		652	88	180	71	51	99	0.276	4	31	-1.88	-0.62	1.51	0.36	-0.06
11	124	63	-0.17	-0.17	0.00	Evan Gattis	Day to Day - Questionable - Evan Gattis (wrist) says barring a setback, he will be ready for Opening Day.	HOU	C	139		539	77	141	86	32	130	0.261	30	1	1.18	0.33	-0.93	-0.61	-0.82
14	162	84	-0.32	-0.32	0.00	Brandon Moss	Day to Day - Questionable - right hip surgery - is questionable for 4/6 against Houston	CLE	1B/OF	135		488	72	124	81	59	151	0.254	31	1	1.32	0.03	-0.87	-1.02	-1.03
36	423	148	-0.95	-0.95	0.00	Khris Davis		MIL	OF	139		484	58	122	63	32	117	0.253	23	4	0.41	-1.10	-0.65	-2.29	-1.10
46	552	173	-1.26	-1.26	0.00	Joc Pederson		LAD	DH	130	3/29/2015 9:53 AM Joc Pederson still doesn't know what his role will be when Opening Day rolls around, but he's showing he belongs on the roster.	424	46	105	49	53	121	0.247	16	21	-0.39	-2.00	0.68	-3.41	-1.18
53	634	212	-1.60	-1.60	0.00	Marcus Semien		OAK	2B/3B	138		450	50	108	47	56	102	0.240	12	8	-0.92	-2.11	-0.32	-3.07	-1.55
Round	Rank	TRank	PuntV	LeagV	Punt+	Name	Inj	Team	Pos	g	News	AB	R	H	RBI	BB	K	BA	HR	SB	HRV	RBIV	SBV	RV	BAV
			-2.39	-2.39	0.00	Avg Stats/Total Values				1719		6,641	944	1,818	911	595	1,257	0.274	231	144	-0.69	-3.55	-0.34	-5.37	-2.00
			0.47	0.47	0.00	Avg Stats/Total Values (active)				1451		5,767	849	1,605	815	486	1,034	0.278	202	115	0.61	0.56	-0.70	1.11	0.74

Round	Rank	TRank	PuntV	LeagV	Punt+	Name	Inj	Team	Pos	g	News	IP	H	RA	ER	BB	SO	HR	ERA	SV	WHIP	QS	SVV	ERAV	WHIPV	SOV	QSV
2	23	9	0.70	0.31	+0.39	Mark Melancon		PIT	RP	72		71.8	58	19	17	12	68	3	2.14	42	0.97	0	1.99	1.15	0.90	-1.25	-1.26
3	28	12	0.63	0.25	+0.38	Sean Doolittle	Injured - left shoulder surgery - is out indefinitely Projected Return 5/1/2015	OAK	RP	59		58.9	38	14	13	9	70	4	1.94	28	0.79	0	1.10	1.15	1.50	-1.22	-1.26
6	67	30	0.19	-0.10	+0.29	Andrew Miller		NYY	RP	72		57.6	36	13	12	24	96	4	1.91	10	1.04	0	-0.04	1.16	0.42	-0.78	-1.26
7	76	35	0.11	-0.16	+0.27	Bradley Boxberger		TB	RP	67		73.3	46	27	25	28	104	9	3.07	17	1.02	0	0.39	0.01	0.68	-0.64	-1.26
9	103	47	-0.06	-0.30	+0.24	Tyler Clippard		OAK	RP	66		59.6	36	22	20	20	67	6	3.08	13	0.94	0	0.14	0.00	0.89	-1.27	-1.26
9	107	50	-0.08	-0.31	+0.24	Wade Davis		KC	RP	73		87.0	70	26	24	31	102	5	2.48	4	1.16	0	-0.43	0.89	-0.09	-0.67	-1.26
16	182	89	-0.40	-0.48	+0.08	Yusmeiro Petit		SF	SP/RP	46		101.6	96	38	35	23	99	10	3.06	0	1.17	5	-0.68	0.02	-0.21	-0.71	-0.82
23	273	150	-0.66	-0.47	-0.20	Danny Salazar	Minor Leagues Projected Return 5/1/2015	CLE	SP	25		138.3	137	55	51	43	147	15	3.29	0	1.30	17	-0.68	-0.51	-1.58	0.13	0.32
38	449	294	-1.00	-0.81	-0.19	Carlos Rodon	Minor Leagues Projected Return 6/1/2015	CHW	RP	21		112.1	100	50	46	51	113	11	3.71	0	1.35	13	-0.68	-1.22	-1.65	-0.47	-0.04
40	473	315	-1.06	-0.73	-0.32	Drew Hutchison		TOR	SP	32		187.3	178	86	79	62	181	24	3.80	0	1.29	19	-0.68	-2.33	-1.93	0.72	0.56
Round	Rank	TRank	PuntV	LeagV	Punt+	Name	Inj	Team	Pos	g	News	IP	H	RA	ER	BB	SO	HR	ERA	SV	WHIP	QS	SVV	ERAV	WHIPV	SOV	QSV
			-1.62	-2.81	+1.19	Avg Stats/Total Values				532		947.5	794	350	322	304	1,048	91	3.06	115	1.16	53	0.42	0.32	-1.07	-6.16	-7.55
			-1.59	-2.60	+1.00	Avg Stats/Total Values (active)				448		750.3	620	281	259	251	830	72	3.10	87	1.16	37	0.00	-0.32	-0.98	-5.07	-6.61