Keeper trade proposed: J. Castro/Seager/Yelich/A. Wood for S. Perez/Taveras/Smyly

unbigote  5/22/2014 9:55 PM

6 keepers, 12 team h2h, standard 5x5 scoring

Thought I'd see if I could buy snag Taveras by proposing Castro/Seager/Wood for Perez/Taveras and received the counter in the topic line. I realize this would be an easy reject in a redraft league, but with the keeper values (below in parenthesis), do you think I should pull the trigger or counter with something else (Heyward instead of Yelich?)? I don't think any of the players I'd part with would be in my 6 keepers for next year. My team is in 8th place right now, so I'm exploring options to improve for the next 6 weeks or so; if I don't start to gain ground I might try to sell off my non-keeper assets. 

Castro (rd 17); Seager (rd 8); Yelich (rd 12); Wood (rd 13)

For

Perez (rd 17); Taveras (rd 22); Smyly (rd 19)

I would replace Seager by moving Carpenter over and taking Eaton off the DL or alternatively picking up Matt Dominguez, JJ Hardy, Infante or LaRoche (best projected FA options). I like Yelich quite a bit, but it seems like he has less upside than Taveras and would have to be kept way earlier.

Potential keepers: McCutchen (1), Jansen (11), Brantley (14), Freeman (15), Harper (15), Carpenter (21), Segura (22), Baez (23), Springer (24)

12 Teams | 12 Hitters Per Team [5 Active = HR RBI SB R BA] | 7 Pitchers Per Team [5 Active = W SV ERA WHIP SO]

Round	Rank	Value	Name	Injury	Team	Pos	g	News	AB	R	H	RBI	BB	K	BA	HR	SB	HRV	RBIV	SBV	RV	BAV
1	3	1.44	McCutchen, Andrew		PIT	OF	114		419	66	133	66	58	77	0.319	17	16	0.83	1.50	0.77	1.50	2.59
1	10	0.90	Freeman, Freddie		ATL	1B	108		404	64	125	61	48	85	0.308	19	1	1.09	1.05	-0.83	1.29	1.88
3	35	0.36	Martinez, Victor		DET	1B	102		384	49	118	66	35	32	0.308	11	1	-0.37	1.50	-0.88	-0.23	1.78
5	49	0.16	Brantley, Michael		CLE	OF	109		390	48	113	54	31	40	0.289	9	15	-0.69	0.41	0.65	-0.28	0.72
6	66	-0.07	Heyward, Jason		ATL	OF	103		416	64	105	40	51	87	0.254	16	8	0.66	-0.76	-0.08	1.25	-1.41
7	74	-0.14	Seager, Kyle		SEA	3B	110		388	49	100	52	40	78	0.258	16	7	0.61	0.24	-0.28	-0.20	-1.06
7	77	-0.17	Yelich, Christian		MIA	OF	103		397	58	106	38	48	106	0.267	9	15	-0.64	-0.98	0.64	0.68	-0.56
7	81	-0.19	Springer, George		HOU	OF	104		402	54	97	43	44	138	0.241	16	17	0.59	-0.50	0.83	0.27	-2.13
7	84	-0.21	Segura, Jean		MIL	SS	106		435	51	115	37	22	65	0.265	7	25	-1.00	-1.04	1.70	0.03	-0.74
9	107	-0.38	Carpenter, Matt		STL	2B/3B	109		445	66	122	34	57	82	0.275	6	2	-1.21	-1.27	-0.73	1.42	-0.10
10	113	-0.44	Eaton, Adam		CHW	OF	97		397	56	107	31	39	66	0.271	6	13	-1.22	-1.54	0.42	0.47	-0.35
14	162	-0.78	Castro, Jason		HOU	C	92		326	41	81	42	37	96	0.249	12	1	-0.12	-0.60	-0.92	-0.97	-1.32
15	177	-0.87	Harper, Bryce		WAS	OF	59		203	29	57	34	26	46	0.279	10	5	-0.55	-1.33	-0.41	-2.14	0.07
18	209	-1.20	Wong, Kolten		STL	2B	69		276	32	72	26	20	44	0.260	4	10	-1.53	-2.01	0.06	-1.88	-0.67
26	310	-1.88	Baez, Javier		CHC	SS	27		99	11	24	14	4	31	0.244	6	2	-1.23	-3.04	-0.79	-3.87	-0.48
Round	Rank	Value	Name	Injury	Team	Pos	g	News	AB	R	H	RBI	BB	K	BA	HR	SB	HRV	RBIV	SBV	RV	BAV
		-3.48	Avg Stats/Total Values				1411		5,380	738	1,476	638	561	1,071	0.274	165	139	-4.78	-8.37	0.15	-2.65	-1.77
		-0.73	Avg Stats/Total Values (active)				1325		5,078	698	1,395	590	531	994	0.275	149	132	-3.00	-4.00	1.36	3.36	-1.37

Round	Rank	Value	Name	Injury	Team	Pos	g	News	IP	H	RA	ER	BB	SO	HR	ERA	W	SV	WHIP	WV	SVV	ERAV	WHIPV	SOV
1	4	1.05	Hernandez, Felix		SEA	SP	24		164.4	149	55	51	39	167	13	2.77	11	0	1.14	1.20	-0.61	2.16	0.80	1.71
1	10	0.62	Greinke, Zack		LAD	SP	22		137.2	117	51	47	34	129	13	3.08	10	0	1.10	0.89	-0.61	0.75	1.40	0.69
2	14	0.38	Jansen, Kenley		LAD	RP	50		50.3	36	12	11	16	75	4	2.06	3	25	1.03	-1.46	1.72	1.55	0.91	-0.81
3	28	0.04	Minor, Mike		ATL	SP	22		140.8	130	59	54	36	123	15	3.47	10	0	1.18	0.83	-0.61	-0.58	0.05	0.52
3	34	0.00	Robertson, David		NYY	RP	48		45.2	35	15	14	14	51	3	2.72	3	25	1.08	-1.55	1.76	0.65	0.58	-1.46
4	42	-0.09	Kluber, Corey		CLE	SP	21		121.0	128	45	41	28	118	12	3.06	9	0	1.29	0.45	-0.61	0.73	-1.40	0.38
5	54	-0.21	Doolittle, Sean		OAK	RP	46		46.1	38	16	14	11	43	3	2.80	3	14	1.05	-1.39	0.73	0.57	0.70	-1.68
6	64	-0.33	Wood, Alex		ATL	SP/RP	22		79.4	75	29	26	23	78	6	2.99	6	0	1.23	-0.51	-0.61	0.61	-0.42	-0.71
7	74	-0.39	Melancon, Mark		PIT	RP	47		47.1	42	15	14	11	43	3	2.59	4	4	1.12	-1.20	-0.24	0.83	0.34	-1.66
9	100	-0.56	Keuchel, Dallas		HOU	SP/RP	22		151.5	157	65	60	42	126	15	3.54	8	0	1.31	0.21	-0.61	-0.88	-2.14	0.60
9	107	-0.59	Hawkins, LaTroy		COL	RP	49		46.4	47	20	18	11	32	5	3.59	3	17	1.25	-1.37	1.03	-0.32	-0.34	-1.96
Round	Rank	Value	Name	Injury	Team	Pos	g	News	IP	H	RA	ER	BB	SO	HR	ERA	W	SV	WHIP	WV	SVV	ERAV	WHIPV	SOV
		-0.07	Avg Stats/Total Values				372		1,029.3	954	381	351	264	986	92	3.07	72	85	1.18	-3.91	1.37	6.06	0.48	-4.37
		-0.09	Avg Stats/Total Values (active)				285		478.8	422	161	149	124	488	37	2.79	34	85	1.14	-6.29	3.80	6.04	2.58	-6.57

ken_admin  5/23/2014 8:41 AM

That looks good if you're planning for next season. Of the three, the only one you would keep is Taveras? We like Yelich too, but in the 12th round, that's not quite the deal as Taveras in the 22nd. As far as Heyward instead of Yelich, that looks good if you do want to keep Yelich next season since I assume Heyward is not worth keeping. I'm guessing the other team is looking to win this season?

unbigote  5/23/2014 9:23 AM

The other guy felt Taveras was worth more than the Castro/Seager/Wood combo, so he countered by adding Yelich. based on my roster I don't know who else to substitute. I thought Heyward because he seems absolutely lost (to me), even though projections have faith he will turn it around (his line drive rate is down and the HR/FB% is way down)--maybe he just ain't as good as advertised?

I think the other team is looking to win this season, or at least get out of the cellar. They are actually lower in the standings than I am; their attempt to rebuild last year hasn't worked out so far, but they don't want to have another losing season.

Right now I'm on the fence about doing a full rebuild. I think I can make the playoffs this season, but I don't think I'll have a shot at advancing in them. If I can improve my long term outlook and tread water I'll be happy. I seem to have been quicker to the wire than most, so I feel like i have a decent shot of finding a hot bat to fill in for Seager (who hasn't exactly lit the world on fire).

I really like Yelich and would like to keep him out of the trade if possible (picks move up two rounds, so I'm not sure if his value will exceed other available options in the 10th round next year). It's always possible Perez and Smyly will perform well enough to consider keeping, but right now I don't view them as in the top six potential keepers. (Obviously I'm a sucker for potential.)

EDIT: thanks for bearing with the lengthy explanation.

ken_admin  5/23/2014 10:44 AM

Your team looks pretty good to me, and if you can make the playoffs, I'm sure you'd have a shot at winning it (obviously Harper would be back too.) It looks like Heyward and Yelich are almost identical players (projections-wise) so keeping Yelich seems better since he could be worth a 10th round pick next year.

unbigote  5/23/2014 12:01 PM

Unfortunately my trade partner has been burned by Heyward in the past, so Yelich it is! Thanks for the advice.