At a crossroads

unbigote  8/5/2014 11:30 AM

My team ain't great, but it ain't bad either (relative to the league). I'm sitting in 4th place out of 12, with a probable ceiling of 3rd (the two top teams seem to be out of reach). I've had some recent injury issues that have derailed my progress. Do I trade some potential future assets for a chance to win now, or do I hang on and compete with what I've got.

League details: h2h, 12 teams, 6 keepers, 5x5 scoring (4th year of operation).

My roster (w/ next years round values, players jump two spots year to year):

C - Travis D'Arnaud (rd 22)

1B - Freddy Freeman (rd 13)

2B - A. Alcantara (rd 22)

SS - Jean Segura (rd 20)

3B - Anthony Rendon (rd 22)

IF - Victor Martinez (rd 7)

OF - McCutchen (rd 1), Hewyard (rd 2), Brantley (rd 12), Harper (rd 14)

UTL - J.D. Martinez (rd 22), Javier Baez (rd 21)

DL - Encarnacion (rd 8), Springer (rd 22)

SP - Hernandez (rd 1), Grienke (rd 1),  Kluber (rd 13), Smyly (rd 17), Keuchel (rd 22), Duffy (rd 22)

P - Robertson (rd 4), Feliz (rd 14), Doolittle (rd 22), Allen (rd 22), Melancon (rd 22)

My plan is to keep Freeman, Rendon, Harper, Springer and Baez (but this is fluid). The last spot would be up for grabs between McCutchen, Encarnacion, Kluber, Brantley, Segura and Doolittle.

I'm considering dangling J.D. Martinez (possibly some keeper value) + a closer to improve my catcher spot (traded for, then lost Yadi).

There are good players with little carry-over value I can target if I go all in. Guys like Altuve, Ellsbury, Price, Carlos Gomez, Scherzer, Castro, Longo.

There are also great keepers I can try to move for if I decide to...stay the course. Goldy, Donaldson, Machado, Puig, Cole.

Good Sirs, what should I do?

12 Teams | 12 Hitters Per Team [5 Active = HR RBI SB R BA] | 7 Pitchers Per Team [5 Active = W SV ERA WHIP SO]

Round	Rank	Value	Name	Injury	Team	Pos	g	News	AB	R	H	RBI	BB	K	BA	HR	SB	HRV	RBIV	SBV	RV	BAV
1	9	1.03	Martinez, Victor		DET	1B	46		169	25	54	33	16	14	0.320	7	0	0.67	2.27	-0.87	0.86	2.22
1	10	1.03	Brantley, Michael		CLE	OF	48		184	25	58	30	15	17	0.317	6	5	0.10	1.62	0.39	0.79	2.25
3	25	0.44	Rendon, Anthony		WAS	2B/3B	47		188	26	53	23	16	32	0.281	6	5	0.39	0.41	0.21	1.07	0.14
3	27	0.42	Freeman, Freddie		ATL	1B	48		178	27	52	26	24	40	0.290	6	0	0.39	0.88	-0.93	1.12	0.67
4	47	0.13	Encarnacion, Edwin		TOR	1B/3B	34		122	21	34	24	18	19	0.278	8	1	1.05	0.50	-0.65	-0.22	-0.02
5	54	0.05	Springer, George		HOU	OF	46		166	24	40	24	22	60	0.239	9	2	1.44	0.56	-0.34	0.62	-2.03
6	72	-0.10	Alcantara, Arismendy		CHC	2B	44		180	23	48	17	12	44	0.264	4	8	-0.50	-0.75	1.19	0.33	-0.79
7	74	-0.12	Martinez, J.D.		DET	OF	42		151	18	43	22	7	39	0.283	6	1	0.33	0.27	-0.63	-0.77	0.21
7	79	-0.19	Heyward, Jason		ATL	OF	46		159	20	42	21	19	27	0.263	5	4	-0.07	-0.01	0.17	-0.29	-0.77
9	100	-0.36	Harper, Bryce		WAS	OF	46		157	21	41	19	19	40	0.260	5	3	-0.14	-0.34	-0.19	-0.25	-0.88
9	103	-0.37	McCutchen, Andrew		PIT	OF	25		94	15	29	16	13	19	0.312	4	4	-0.32	-0.98	-0.04	-1.49	1.00
11	128	-0.55	Baez, Javier		CHC	SS	39		141	15	34	19	8	45	0.244	7	3	0.70	-0.41	-0.14	-1.42	-1.50
13	146	-0.68	Taveras, Oscar		STL	OF	47		161	16	43	19	9	28	0.267	4	1	-0.44	-0.34	-0.70	-1.34	-0.56
16	192	-1.08	Segura, Jean		MIL	SS	46		149	13	36	14	6	19	0.240	2	8	-1.31	-1.36	1.01	-1.98	-1.77
18	214	-1.21	d'Arnaud, Travis		NYM	C	38		129	13	31	14	13	26	0.238	4	0	-0.37	-1.23	-0.89	-1.96	-1.62
Round	Rank	Value	Name	Injury	Team	Pos	g	News	AB	R	H	RBI	BB	K	BA	HR	SB	HRV	RBIV	SBV	RV	BAV
		-1.56	Avg Stats/Total Values				641		2,330	303	637	319	217	468	0.273	84	48	1.90	1.10	-2.42	-4.94	-3.45
		-1.37	Avg Stats/Total Values (active)				536		1,948	243	534	256	164	370	0.274	63	40	-0.26	1.03	-1.39	-3.85	-2.40

Round	Rank	Value	Name	Injury	Team	Pos	g	News	IP	H	RA	ER	BB	SO	HR	ERA	W	SV	WHIP	WV	SVV	ERAV	WHIPV	SOV
1	2	1.67	Hernandez, Felix		SEA	SP	10		73.7	55	20	18	16	79	4	2.21	5	0	0.96	1.53	-0.68	2.92	2.52	2.02
1	8	0.49	Doolittle, Sean		OAK	RP	22		22.5	14	6	5	3	29	2	2.12	1	13	0.76	-1.32	2.05	0.99	1.58	-0.84
1	11	0.45	Greinke, Zack		LAD	SP	9		59.0	54	20	18	13	60	5	2.75	5	0	1.13	0.95	-0.68	0.85	0.21	0.95
2	15	0.33	Kluber, Corey		CLE	SP	9		58.0	54	19	17	13	60	5	2.71	4	0	1.17	0.66	-0.68	0.93	-0.23	0.97
3	27	0.12	Melancon, Mark		PIT	RP	22		21.6	18	6	5	3	21	1	2.15	1	10	0.96	-1.26	1.54	0.91	0.72	-1.32
3	28	0.10	Robertson, David		NYY	RP	20		20.3	16	5	5	6	29	2	2.16	1	11	1.06	-1.40	1.60	0.85	0.34	-0.87
5	55	-0.21	Allen, Cody		CLE	RP	20		18.9	15	6	6	7	24	2	2.67	1	8	1.14	-1.28	0.99	0.34	0.04	-1.13
8	90	-0.47	Keuchel, Dallas		HOU	SP/RP	10		64.5	67	25	23	18	49	4	3.21	4	0	1.32	0.50	-0.68	-0.44	-2.03	0.31
10	117	-0.62	Duffy, Danny		KC	SP	8		48.3	39	22	20	19	39	4	3.75	3	0	1.20	-0.12	-0.68	-1.57	-0.47	-0.25
11	131	-0.67	Smyly, Drew		TB	RP	9		47.3	47	21	20	14	41	6	3.72	3	0	1.28	0.08	-0.68	-1.47	-1.12	-0.15
14	167	-0.77	Feliz, Neftali		TEX	RP	15		14.7	10	8	7	7	12	2	4.35	1	6	1.17	-1.61	0.51	-0.88	-0.05	-1.81
Round	Rank	Value	Name	Injury	Team	Pos	g	News	IP	H	RA	ER	BB	SO	HR	ERA	W	SV	WHIP	WV	SVV	ERAV	WHIPV	SOV
		0.43	Avg Stats/Total Values				154		448.7	388	157	144	118	443	35	2.89	31	47	1.13	-3.28	2.63	3.43	1.51	-2.14
		0.62	Avg Stats/Total Values (active)				101		298.2	255	104	96	79	286	22	2.90	20	33	1.12	-1.99	2.48	2.20	1.54	-1.11

mbuser   8/5/2014 12:02 PM

Are the top two teams out of reach or are they not? Posting the actual standings would help.

descender  8/5/2014 12:14 PM

If it's H2H, there is no such thing as "out of reach", especially in 4th place!

Make the playoffs, get lucky.

unbigote  8/5/2014 12:33 PM

I'm 11 games out of second, 16 out of first place.

BBM projected standings look rosy, but I've just lost McCutchen for a good length of time.

Payout is 1/2 to regular season best record, 1/2 to playoff winner.

unbigote  8/5/2014 1:07 PM

Also, early thoughts on keepers will be quite appreciated.

mbuser   8/5/2014 1:21 PM

Okay, I glossed over that it's h2h. Why are you posting roto standings if it's h2h? You aren't going to move into first with Cutch out for a month, that's for sure. But agreed with descender - just get to the playoffs and anything can happen, that's always the goal in h2h. That looks like a good squad, assuming you have Springer, Encarnacion, Cutch back in time for the playoffs. Stream some SP based on matchups and add a hot bat or two, and you have as good of a chance as any.

Freeman, Rendon, Harper, Baez, Springer, Kluber looks like a good keeper group to me.

unbigote  8/5/2014 3:44 PM

Thanks to both of you. Had a brainfart with the picture of roto standings.

mbuser   8/5/2014 8:30 PM

So, yeah, you get your guys back and you give it your best shot. I can't tell you how many times the top team in my h2h leagues has steamrolled through the regular season and then lost in their first playoff matchup. That's the "beauty" of h2h

unbigote  8/6/2014 7:03 PM

Forgot to include Tavares (rd 22) as a keeper consideration. Would you knock any of players you mentioned earlier out of the conversation (Freeman, Rendon, Harper, Baez, Springer, Kluber)?
 

mbuser   8/6/2014 7:34 PM

I still like Freeman, but he didn't quite take the expected step forward this season (although he's still only 24) and I would think Taveras would have more "market" value at that round discount.